Afghanistan must hope England beats South Africa by a huge margin to qualify for the Champions Trophy 2025 semifinal. The chances are very low.
Highlights:
- The Australia vs. Afghanistan Champions Trophy match was washed out due to rain.
- Australia reached the semifinals, while Afghanistan needs a math miracle to qualify.
Australia reached the Champions Trophy 2025 semifinals after their match against Afghanistan was washed out in Lahore on February 28. With four points from three games, they secured their spot. Afghanistan, with three points from a win, loss, and no result, still has a slim chance but depends on another match and a big net run rate shift.
Afghanistan can qualify for the Champions Trophy 2025 semifinals only if England defeats South Africa by a huge margin.
Scenarios for Afghanistan’s Qualification:
- If England bats first:
- England must beat South Africa by at least 207 runs to lower South Africa’s Net Run Rate (NRR) below Afghanistan’s.
- If England chases:
- England must chase South Africa’s total within 11.1 overs (assuming a 300-run target) to significantly impact the NRR.
Since both scenarios are highly improbable, Afghanistan’s chances of advancing remain extremely slim.
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If either of these results happens, South Africa and Afghanistan will both have three points from three matches.
In this case, Afghanistan will qualify for the semi-finals due to a better Net Run Rate (NRR) than South Africa. However, the required margin of victory for England makes this scenario highly unlikely.
The outcome of the England versus South Africa match in Karachi carries significant weight in determining the Champions Trophy semi-finalists, as a washout would automatically secure South Africa’s qualification with four points, eliminating Afghanistan from contention, while a South Africa victory would see them top Group B and set up a semi-final clash against the loser of the highly anticipated India versus New Zealand encounter.
Whichever team secures the final semi-final spot will join India, New Zealand, and Australia in the knockout stage. The first semi-final is scheduled for March 4, while the second semi-final will take place on March 5.
